We have many things to discuss, Dear Reader! First and most pressing, of course, is the Oscar nominations. Let’s just get right down to it:
Best Picture:
Avatar–Makes sense. I mean, who is surprised there? But I don’t think it should win. As good a movie as it is, and God knows I love the thing, its technological advances can’t hide the overt simplicity of the story itself. A “Best Picture” needs to be something a little deeper.
The Blind Side–Still haven’t seen it, but I think a fair choice. The Academy is obviously sensitive to alienating people, and they know that if this movie isn’t nominated, a lot of America is going to flip them off and watch something else. Scoff all you like, and most of my professors do, but the people love it. If only this kind of open-mindedness was there for “The Dark Knight,” whose snub last year is made all the worse by the fact that with ten nominees, it almost certainly would have gotten the nomination. I will never get over that.
District 9–And here we get them filling up space, this is not a good enough movie to be “Best Picture.” It’s a fad that died off once everyone realized the movie had no third act. I like “District 9,” especially for its new and exciting take on sci-fi, but it’s problems are too significant to ignore.
An Education–Haven’t seen it, but I hear great things. A pretty obvious Hollywood choice, I’m sure it would’ve been nominated even with 5 slots. It won’t win, though, and everyone involved in it knows that. Because the Oscars are more than any other thing a television program, and television programs need exciting upsets and huge, record-breaking sweeps. A lesser known up-and-comer winning the big prize would elicit a giant shrug from too many people. It’s not happening.
The Hurt Locker–My current pick for the Best Picture win, and a deserving contender. I really like “The Hurt Locker,” but I must admit that I’ve been avoiding a second viewing, because I have this nagging sense that its muddled third quarter—especially the scene where Jeremy Renner breaks into that house for some reason—will bother me even more than it did the first time. Like “District 9,” it’s a movie whose strengths are big and hard to miss, while its weaknesses are whispering in your ear while you leave the theater. I’m not saying it shouldn’t be nominated or even that it shouldn’t win, but as a character study I do find it imperfect.
Inglourious Basterds–A wonderful nomination, and one of the fruits of the ten-slot changeover, because it surely would have been left in the cold a year ago. This is a brazen, interesting film that gave people a genuinely new experience, and that alone is something. It breaks a lot of basic storytelling rules, which “Pulp Fiction” also did, but I don’t think it gets away with it quite as cleanly as that film did. It’s a great movie, I’m glad to see it here, but the pace is occasionally a bit cumbersome and not every subplot resolves in a worthy manner.
As far as its chances of winning, I think they’re decent, but I’d put money on “Locker” and “Avatar” first. This is kind of the “Benjamin Button” of 2009, and although everyone is happy to see it at the dance, I don’t think we’re taking it home with us.
Precious–Admittedly, this one managed to generate a lot of heat for awhile, and I think its lead will probably go home with a statue, but the movie itself has gone the way of “Juno” and started losing momentum before the ceremony rolled around. It’s not winning.
A Serious Man–God knows I hate to be arrayed against my beloved Coen Brothers, but in my opinion this is one of their weaker films. Its script wouldn’t get past an undergraduate screenwriting class, its protagonist fails to elicit sympathy, and the plot is dramatically unsatisfying. The most interesting character, the main character’s son, is awkwardly thrust into the limelight in the 3rd act to try and engage the audience, but what the stoned bar mitzvah sequence is supposed to mean is never made clear. As filmmakers, their craft is as good as its ever been, but here they stray too far off the reservation. The one redeeming feature is a spine-tingling last frame, which calls out like a phantom limb from the movie “A Serious Man” could have been, but isn’t.
As for its chances…don’t count on it. I have a theory that no one actually likes “A Serious Man” that much, and given the swirling protestations of anti-Semitism (which are ridiculous as usual), I don’t think it’s got the legs to make the jump. And it doesn’t deserve it, anyway.
Up–A good enough film that isn’t great, no matter what anyone says. Stellar opening, incredibly tepid middle, enjoyable but shrug-worthy conclusion. Funny and spirited, but the audience is ahead of the characters the whole time.
Up in the Air–I said I thought “The Hurt Locker” would win, but if I could work my will, here is the one that should win. In terms of likelihood of taking the prize, I’d say it’s about equal with anything here. This is the best movie of the ten, hands down. It’s more topical than “Locker,” sweeter than “Up,” and more brutally honest than “Precious” or “A Serious Man.” Reitman earned his nomination for “Juno,” but no matter how wonderful that film was, I don’t think anyone was comfortable calling it “Best Picture.” “Up in the Air” feels born to be.
So there you have it. As a quick break-down, let me list the movies I would be happy to see win:
Up in the Air
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Here are the ones I would be okay with winning, but not thrilled about:
Avatar
Up
And the ones that would actively annoy me:
District 9
A Serious Man
The others I can’t comment on, having not seen them.
I’d also like to point out that this year is a surprisingly weak year for storytelling. Many of these movies are on here for cultural significance or popularity, when their actual scripts are draft material. I notice a particular Achilles’ heel in the third acts of movies like “District 9,” “Up,” “The Hurt Locker,” and “A Serious Man,” all films which fumble awkwardly at their resolutions. When I’m considering who I want to take the ultimate prize, the thing I’m obsessed with is a shiny, glistening story: paced with elegance, nuanced, powerful, and authentic. “Up in the Air” displays all of this and still manages to be funny, sad, fascinating, and the most relevant film for our times. 3-D technology is great, James, but it doesn’t mean anything for me as a human being. “Air” is talking about the American spirit as it is right now with an almost relentless clarity.
A few other things that struck me:
-Cameron is taking the Best Director prize, I guarantee you. But he can’t have that and Best Picture, I don’t think the Academy will swallow that, so that says to me that “Avatar” isn’t taking the statue. Cameron absolutely deserves it in a way, but on the other hand, I sometimes think the technical aspect of directing overwhelms what the job is really about: story, tone and performances. In those respects, “Avatar” is only good, not great. For me, the most visionary control of performances and story I saw this year were brought to us by Kathryn Bigelow (Cameron’s ex-wife, funny side note) and Jason Reitman. Both of their movies, whatever flaws were present, had that feel of someone making real decisions behind the camera.
-I don’t think any of the original screenplay noms really leap out at me as “winners,” they all strike me as movies who will win and then you’ll be surprised ten years later to find that out. The adapted category is full of quality, though.
-Let Sandra have Best Lead Actress. She deserves it. The woman carried that film on her back in a way very few actresses can. The fact that she made Americans love and relate to her character is a crucial ingredient in the movie’s success, and it must be recognized. It must be.
-”Fantastic Mr. Fox” better win Animated, it’s twice the movie “Up” is, and if there was justice in this world it’d be swimming in the big boy’s pool with a Best Picture nom.
-My personal favorites for Best Score are Hans Zimmer’s “Sherlock Holmes” and Alexandre Desplat’s “Fantastic Mr. Fox.” Both were defining components of their film’s personality. I almost want Has to win between the two, since he took a weak film and brought it up a notch with his music. He seems to specialize in that, often doing his best work in crap flicks like “The Da Vinci Code.” I guess he likes the challenge.
But in fairness, Desplat is just as deserving, because the music in “Fox” was integral to the proceedings in a way “Holmes” does not mimic, and he so perfectly rose to that challenge.
-I know it’s a pipe dream, but I’d love to see Bruno Delbonnel win for his lensing of “Harry Potter.” The film was jaw-droppingly gorgeous.
Anyway,
The “Lost” season premiere was, by all accounts, a smashing success. Bad “Lost” episodes are frustrating, giving out too little information and annoying the audience, but this one was always teasing you just the right amount. There was a constant sense of a logic working behind the scenes that you could just barely not see. Beautifully done. The “new” John Locke who manipulated Ben so adroitly is one of the series’ most interesting characters, but I do think they owe the original a more thorough resolution than he got. I’ve enjoyed the disillusionment they’ve milked from John’s bizarre and untimely passing, but it’s beginning to strike me as unsatisfying. You can’t carry us this far with that guy and just leave him in the dust.
No one knows what to make of this apparent alternate reality. I for one am not convinced it is alternate yet, because you never want to assume with “Lost.” I don’t know what it is. I do know that it’s given the show an energy that is going to send it into that big goodnight with momentum to spare. Thank God you’re back, “Lost.” We have missed you.